DINGERS FROM THE 6IX
by Quinn Sweetzir
Before you start reading, I would like to announce that there is no typo in the title. I understand that home run problems are usually the concern of the pitcher, and that with the exception of a single scoreless appearance last Canada Day, Ryan Goins has never pithed at the professional level.
Before I get into that, I should first explain what happened in the Jays last game in Milwaukee. Up 4-1 in the 6th inning, Ryan Goins came up to bat. He did the most unexpected things I've seen from this team all season. If you haven't seen what Goins did, here's the video.
Ryan Goins hitting a grand slam is one of those things I did not expect to witness as I watched the game. Goins getting a hit is rare enough, so a 4 run moonshot has to be one of his all time career highlights.
The utility infielder has displayed more raw power than anyone expected this season, and has managed to hit a couple no doubters since carving a full time role at short stop. This is where the problem begins however, as hitting the occasional home run results in Goins attempting to go for more, which leads to bad hacks with massive uppercuts.
Goins has one plate appearance after his grand slam yesterday and it didn't go well, as he struck out on 4 pitches from Wily Peralta - a swingman with a 5.52 ERA. This at bat, Goins swung through two middle middle fastballs, before going down hacking at a slider outside the strikezone.
Although this is only one at bat, the fact remains that whenever Goins hits a home run, he gets ultra swing happy, and begins swinging out of his shoes trying to hit another. The result is a performance which is even worse at the plate that his usual flawed self.
This is what I mean when I say Goins has a home run problem. Hitting home runs makes him too undiciplined to be even a competitent hitter, let alone average one. But I can't just tell you that without giving you some evidence, so here's Goins' numbers in the 5 games following a HR (if Goins was only used as a defensive replacement and did not get a plate apperance, a 6th game is included).
In essence, Goins walks less, hits less, and hits for less power when he swings for the fences like he does after a recent home run. And if an already terrible hitter becomes even more terrible, it makes that player almost unusable and utterly useless.
In addition to these terrible numbers, on 3 separate occasions, Goins has failed to EVEN GET ON BASE in the 5 games with plate appearances following a home run. If this isn't enough to convince you Goins has a HR problem, maybe an even more specialized sample will convince you.
I could explain myself again but the evidence explaines it self. There is overwhelming evidence to suggest that an already ineffective hitting Ryan Goins is significantly worse after hitting home runs.
The fact remains that by trying yo hit dingers, Goins becomes too swing happy to be even remotely useful. In addition to the bad numbers, the eye test tells me that Goins whiffs significantly more when he try's to hit home run, and his lack of a single extra base hit in 14 games following a home run.
Anyway, if Goins is in the lineup tomorrow, I wouldn't be too optomistic about his performance. His consistinely poor showings following games where he hits bombs indicates that GoGo has a home run problem of sorts, even if it's not a problem in the traditional sense of the phrase.
The lack of consistent performance following games with home runs expose Goins' home run problem, and until he can prove to be a steadier offensive threat. Until then, Goins should remain out of the lineup, especially with Troy Tulowitzki and Josh Donaldson set to return tomorrow.